News
Vortrag von Philipp Sauerteig im MODUS-Oberseminar: „How to coordinate countermeasures against COVID-19“
Mittwoch, den 12. Januar 2022
Am Mittwoch, dem 12. Januar 2022, um 12:15 Uhr spricht
Herr M.Sc. Philipp Sauerteig
Doktorand im Fachgebiet Optimization-based Control
Institut für Mathematik
Fakultät Mathematik und Naturwissenschaften
Technische Universität Ilmenau
im Rahmen des
Forschungszentrums für Modellierung und Simulation (MODUS)
über das Thema
„How to coordinate countermeasures against COVID-19“.
Weitere Einzelheiten erfahren Sie im eLearning-Kurs (Vortragsankündigungen, Diskussionen, ...) des MODUS-Forschungszentrums.
ABSTRACT:
We present a novel compartmental model to investigate the impact of mass testing, social distancing,
and vaccination on the spread of COVID-19. To this end, we extend the well-known SIR model
to account for incubation time, age-dependent symptom severity, inherent delays, and the counter measures themselves.
Our main objective is to minimise the required social distancing while maintaining a hard infection cap.
Using optimization-based control we find that an early and short lockdown is inevitable,
but can then be relaxed monotonically. For real-life decision making we investigate the impact
of the prediction horizon length on the optimal strategies. On short term it is optimal to vaccinate
the high-risk group first whereas in the long run one should focus on people with highest contact rates.